Threat Assessment

Survival Scenarios

Understand the threats, prepare for the most likely ones first. Each scenario is analyzed in depth on our Survival Curriculum channel with animated walkthroughs.

Probability Over Drama

We rank scenarios by statistical likelihood, not Hollywood appeal. A two-week power outage is far more probable than a zombie apocalypse -- and far more survivable with basic preparation. Protocol: Survival audits your readiness against each scenario so you know exactly where to focus.

Extended Power Grid Failure

Expected duration: 2-4 weeks

The most statistically likely emergency for most households. Covers refrigeration loss, heating/cooling, communication, and medical device dependency.

Watch scenario breakdown on Survival Curriculum

Key Priorities

  • Alternative lighting & heating
  • Food preservation without refrigeration
  • Device charging solutions
  • Medication management

Severe Weather & Flooding

Expected duration: 1-14 days

Hurricane, tornado, ice storm, or flood. Shelter-in-place vs. evacuation decision trees, water contamination risks, and structural damage response.

Watch scenario breakdown on Survival Curriculum

Key Priorities

  • Evacuation route planning
  • Waterproof document storage
  • Emergency shelter provisions
  • Post-flood water safety

Civil Disruption & Supply Chain Failure

Expected duration: 1-8 weeks

When grocery stores empty in 72 hours. Long-duration self-sufficiency planning, community coordination, and security without escalation.

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Key Priorities

  • 30+ day food reserves
  • Water procurement & storage
  • Neighborhood coordination
  • Low-profile security measures

Pandemic & Health Emergency

Expected duration: 2-12 weeks

Isolation protocols, PPE inventory, medication stockpiling, and maintaining mental health during extended quarantine periods.

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Key Priorities

  • Medical supply reserves
  • Isolation protocols
  • Remote work/school readiness
  • Mental health maintenance

Economic Disruption

Expected duration: Months

Job loss, banking system issues, or hyperinflation. Financial preparedness, barter economy basics, and reducing dependency on just-in-time systems.

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Key Priorities

  • Emergency fund management
  • Reduced-cost meal planning
  • Skill-based bartering
  • Essential supply buffer

Wilderness & Travel Emergency

Expected duration: 1-7 days

Vehicle breakdown in remote areas, getting lost on trails, or being stranded away from home. Survival with limited gear and no infrastructure.

Watch scenario breakdown on Survival Curriculum

Key Priorities

  • Vehicle emergency kit
  • Signaling & rescue
  • Improvised shelter
  • Water & food procurement

See These Scenarios Play Out

Survival Curriculum breaks down each scenario with animated stick-figure walkthroughs. Watch real decision points, common mistakes, and optimal strategies.